Stock Markets

Markets cautious as Trump’s Iran strike deadline nears

Crude rises; dollar firms, rupee fragile; weak start likely for Indian equities

TC Mathew

Global markets remain on edge as the deadline set by Donald Trump is due to expire tomorrow morning (Indian time). Investors are watching closely for any last-minute breakthrough, but the tone remains cautious.

The US has warned of strikes on bridges and power infrastructure if Iran does not agree to terms by 6:30 am IST on Wednesday. Iran, meanwhile, has mobilised civilian shields around key energy facilities. Unlike previous instances, markets are not pricing in a last-minute retreat, prompting accelerated but uncertain diplomatic efforts. Both sides have already rejected each other’s proposals, including a 45-day ceasefire suggestion.

Weak global cues

US markets ended Monday with modest gains, supported by hopes of a possible agreement before the deadline.

  • The Dow Jones rose 165.21 points (0.36 percent) to 46,669.88

  • S&P 500 gained 29.14 points (0.44 percent) to 6,611.83

  • Nasdaq climbed 171.16 points (0.54 percent) to 21,996.34

However, US futures slipped this morning:

  • Dow down 90 points (0.19 percent)

  • S&P 500 down 0.37 percent

  • Nasdaq down 0.50 percent

Asian markets opened strong but lost momentum:

  • Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi halved early gains

  • Australia rose about 2 percent

  • Shanghai edged up 0.10 percent

  • Hong Kong declined 0.70 percent

GIFT Nifty closed at 23,045 and dropped to 22,908 this morning, indicating a sharply lower opening for Indian markets today.

Indian market rebounds

Indian equities staged a sharp recovery on Monday after an early fall, ending higher for the third straight session.

  • Sensex surged 787.30 points (1.07 percent) to 74,106.85

  • Nifty 50 rose 255.15 points (1.12 percent) to 22,968.25

  • Bank Nifty jumped 2.06 percent

Mid caps gained 1.52 percent, while small caps ended marginally lower.

Market breadth remained strong:

  • BSE: 3,193 stocks advanced vs 1,173 declined

  • NSE: 2,506 advanced vs 741 declined

Foreign institutional investors continued heavy selling, with net outflows of ₹8,167.17 crore, while domestic institutions bought ₹8,088.70 crore worth of equities.

Jubilant FoodWorks reported 19.1 percent revenue growth in Q4

  • Godrej Consumer Products is expected to post double-digit revenue growth

  • CreditAccess Grameen’s loan book rose 14 percent to ₹29,590 crore in FY26

Oil firm, gold volatile

Crude oil remains elevated amid war fears:

  • Brent crude rose to $110.21 per barrel

  • WTI crude near $113.98

  • India’s crude basket surged 8.35 percent to $130.93

Gold declined after volatility:

  • Fell $28.50 to $4,649.50 per ounce

  • Kerala gold price dropped ₹200 to ₹1,10,480 per sovereign

Silver, platinum, and palladium edged higher.

Dollar firms, rupee fragile

The dollar index moved up to 100.07 as geopolitical tensions persisted.

  • Euro at $1.154

  • Pound at $1.3234

  • Yen at 159.71 per dollar

The Indian rupee closed at 93.06 per dollar, gaining just 4 paise despite early strength. RBI measures have curbed speculative pressure, but weakness may persist unless crude falls and foreign inflows resume.

--Rubber gained 1.36 percent

--Coffee prices rose; cocoa declined

--Palm oil eased

--Fertiliser prices (urea, DAP) moved higher

Cryptocurrencies cooled after a rally:

  • Bitcoin slipped to around $68,800 after crossing $70,300

  • Ether and Solana remained firm

Market indicators

(April 6, Monday)

Sensex: 74,106.85 (+1.07%)
Nifty 50: 22,968.25 (+1.12%)
Bank Nifty: 52,609.10 (+2.06%)
Midcap 100: 54,492.65 (+1.52%)
Smallcap 100: 15,853.05 (+1.29%)
Dow Jones: 46,669.88 (+0.36%)
S&P 500: 6,611.83 (+0.44%)
Nasdaq: 21,996.34 (+0.54%)
Dollar: ₹93.06 (-₹0.04)
Gold (ounce): $4,649.50 (-$28.50)
Gold (sovereign): ₹1,10,480 (-₹200)
Brent crude: $109.77 (+$0.74)

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