Stock Markets

Markets turn cautious as West Asia tensions rise over Iran

Crude oil nears $69; gold surges past $5,500

TC Mathew

Fears of a fresh conflict in West Asia are growing, especially around Iran. This has pushed crude oil prices higher and triggered a sharp rally in gold. Global markets are turning cautious as geopolitical risks rise.

  • Crude oil is moving close to $69 a barrel

  • Gold has surged past $5,500 an ounce

  • Investor anxiety is increasing across markets

Indian market outlook

Indian markets are unlikely to see an upbeat opening today.

Key reasons include:

  • Expiry of Sensex futures contracts

  • Weak US futures

  • Further weakness in the rupee

The Centre will also table the Economic Survey in Parliament today, which could influence market sentiment.

Early signals

  • Gift Nifty closed at 25,397.50 overnight

  • Slipped below 25,360 in early morning trade

  • This indicates a weak opening for Nifty

US Fed holds rates, rate cuts not soon

The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations.

  • The Fed said the US economy remains strong

  • Chair Jerome Powell indicated that rate cuts are unlikely before May

  • This reduced global risk appetite

US futures under pressure

US futures were trading lower this morning.

  • Dow Jones down 0.30 percent

  • S&P 500 down 0.22 percent

  • Nasdaq down 0.15 percent

Big tech moves

  • Meta Platforms jumped nearly 10 percent after strong quarterly results

  • Microsoft fell 7 percent due to weakness in its cloud business and a cautious outlook

  • Tesla rose 1 percent despite lower sales, as results beat expectations

  • IBM surged 8 percent on better-than-expected earnings

  • Apple results are expected after market hours today

US markets ended mixed on Wednesday, showing no clear direction.

Asian markets mostly lower

Asian markets opened on a weak note.

  • Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.25 percent

  • Australian markets declined 0.70 percent

  • South Korean stocks moved to fresh record highs

  • Hong Kong and Shanghai indices opened about 0.25 percent lower

Indian markets rally

Indian equities rose sharply on Wednesday, driven by optimism over the India–EU trade deal and expectations of growth in public sector companies.

However, the indices ended well below their intraday highs.

Defence stocks lead gains

Defence stocks were the top performers amid expectations of higher budget allocation.

Major gainers included:

  • BEML

  • Mishra Dhatu Nigam

  • Bharat Electronics

  • Bharat Dynamics

Some stocks gained as much as 12 percent during the session.

Shipbuilding and PSU stocks rise

Shipbuilding companies also posted strong gains.

  • Cochin Shipyard, Mazagon Dock and Garden Reach Shipbuilders rose between 5 and 8 percent

  • Cochin Shipyard gained despite weaker results, on hopes of fresh Navy orders

  • HAL, Zen Technologies, Paras, MTAR and Solar Industries also recorded solid gains

Rising crude oil prices lifted oil stocks.

  • Oil India rose 9.8 percent

  • ONGC gained 8.18 percent

Stocks in focus

  • Kitex Garments rose 5.61 percent after its promoter group’s party joined the BJP-led alliance

  • CSB Bank fell sharply, dropping up to 18 percent after weak quarterly results and deterioration in asset quality

  • Kalyan Jewellers ended marginally lower after a recent recovery

Market numbers at a glance

  • Sensex closed at 82,344.68, up 0.60 percent

  • Nifty 50 ended at 25,342.75, up 0.66 percent

  • Bank Nifty rose 0.66 percent to 59,598.80

  • Mid-cap 100 gained 1.66 percent

  • Small-cap 100 jumped 2.26 percent

Market breadth remained positive, with advancing stocks outnumbering decliners on both NSE and BSE.

Foreign investors turned net buyers after several weeks, while domestic institutions continued strong buying.

Gold surges to historic highs

Gold prices recorded a sharp rally over the past 24 hours.

  • Gold crossed $5,500 an ounce

  • Touched $5,585 in Asian trade before easing slightly

  • Prices have risen over 114 percent in the past 13 months, the sharpest rise since 1979

Why gold is rising

  • Weakness in the dollar

  • Rising geopolitical risks linked to Iran

  • Expectations that countries may reduce reliance on dollar assets

Experts warn that speculation is high and investors should proceed with caution.

Other commodities

  • Silver climbed to $119.50 an ounce globally

  • Platinum traded at $2,720

  • Palladium at $2,030

  • Rhodium at $10,600

Industrial metals moved in mixed directions, while agricultural commodities showed uneven trends.

Dollar weak; rupee under pressure

The dollar remained weak globally, with the dollar index around 96.34.

  • Euro eased slightly to $1.198

  • Pound strengthened to $1.3834

  • Japanese yen traded near 152.80 per dollar

Rupee movement

  • The rupee closed at ₹91.78 against the dollar

  • Overseas markets suggest further pressure, with the dollar touching ₹92.04

  • The Chinese yuan strengthened against the rupee

Crude oil rises on conflict fears

Rising tensions near Iran pushed crude oil prices higher.

  • US aircraft carriers moved closer to Iran

  • Strong warnings were exchanged between the US, Iran and Israel

Prices:

  • Brent crude closed at $68.74 a barrel

  • WTI crude traded at $63.71

  • Natural gas rose to $7.46

Cryptocurrencies under pressure

Crypto markets remained weak.

  • Bitcoin traded near $88,900

  • Ether fell below $3,000

  • Solana slipped below $125

Market indicators

(As on January 28, Wednesday)

  • Sensex: 82,344.68, up 0.60 percent

  • Nifty 50: 25,342.75, up 0.66 percent

  • Dollar: ₹91.78

  • Gold (ounce): $5,416

  • Gold (sovereign): ₹1,22,520

  • Brent crude: $68.74

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