As US–Iran tensions escalate, fear grips stock markets

Crude crosses $72; dollar firms; Asia trades lower
As US–Iran tensions escalate, fear grips stock markets
Updated on
3 min read

Global markets remain on edge amid escalating tensions over a possible US strike on Iran. Equities weakened while crude oil surged above $72 a barrel. In the currency market, the dollar strengthened past ₹91 in offshore trade, raising concerns that the Reserve Bank of India may need to step in to steady the rupee.

  • Crude climbed to $72 a barrel

  • Dollar moved above ₹91 in offshore trade

  • US and European markets fell; Asian indices opened lower

  • Gift Nifty signals a mildly weak start for Indian equities

Gift Nifty, in derivatives trading at GIFT City, closed at 25,400 on Thursday night. On Friday morning it moved in the 25,366–25,435 range and hovered around 25,420, indicating a slightly negative opening for Indian markets.

In New York ADR trade, Infosys fell 3.32 percent before recovering 0.14 percent in after-hours deals. Wipro declined 2.61 percent and later gained 0.45 percent.

Indian market tumbles

War concerns triggered sharp volatility in Indian equities on Thursday. The Sensex swung over 1,700 points intraday, wiping out nearly ₹7 lakh-crore in BSE market capitalisation.

  • Nifty slipped below its 50-day moving average

  • 200-day moving average stands at 25,310

  • Technical analysts warn of deeper correction if Nifty falls below this level

Sectorally:

  • IT rallied in early trade but reversed sharply

  • Realty, automobiles and consumer durables led the decline

  • Oil India rose 5.2 percent and ONGC gained 3.65 percent on higher crude prices

Closing figures:

  • Sensex fell 1,236.11 points (1.48 percent) to 82,498.14

  • Nifty 50 declined 365 points (1.41 percent) to 25,454.35

  • Bank Nifty dropped 811.25 points (1.32 percent) to 60,739.55

  • Mid cap 100 lost 1.59 percent

  • Small cap 100 fell 1.27 percent

Market breadth was negative. On the BSE, 1,209 shares advanced while 3,011 declined. On the NSE, 825 rose and 2,304 fell.

Foreign portfolio investors were net sellers of ₹880.49 crore in the cash market. Domestic institutions also sold ₹596.28 crore.

Key Nifty levels:

  • Below 25,400: downside towards 25,200–25,100

  • Above 25,400: potential recovery to 25,500–25,600

  • Support: 25,385 and 25,280

  • Resistance: 25,765 and 25,885

Corporate updates

  • Waaree Energies is in talks with several states, including Andhra Pradesh, to set up a battery manufacturing unit with an investment of ₹8,000 crore.

  • ABB India reported higher December-quarter revenue but net profit declined 18 percent.

  • Federal Bank received a ₹686 crore tax refund for assessment years 2011–12 to 2013–14.

  • Texmaco Rail & Engineering signed a shareholders’ agreement with Rail Vikas Nigam to form a joint venture.

  • RailTel awarded a ₹89 crore contract to Pace Digitek for video surveillance systems in railway coaches.

  • CIE Automotive India posted an 11 percent rise in third-quarter revenue and a 10.4 percent increase in net profit.

Gold volatile; crude elevated

Gold and silver rose on geopolitical tensions but eased slightly on Friday morning.

  • Gold touched $5,023.20 an ounce before closing at $4,997.20

  • On Friday morning it hovered around $5,000

  • Silver closed at $78.68 an ounce

In Kerala, 22-carat gold rose ₹2,240 per sovereign to ₹1,15,320.

On MCX:

  • 24-carat gold (10g) closed at ₹1,54,700

  • Silver ended at ₹2,41,400 per kg

Industrial metals advanced, with copper up 0.18 percent to $12,625.85 per tonne. Aluminium gained 0.56 percent. Nickel, tin, zinc and lead also rose.

Foreign markets

US markets retreat

US indices slipped on Thursday after early losses of nearly 1 percent, as fears of a potential escalation with Iran weighed on sentiment.

Economic data offered mixed signals:

  • Initial jobless claims for the week ended February 14 were lower than expected

  • December trade deficit widened more than forecast

  • Factory output index rose sharply

Stronger data dampened hopes of an early rate cut, adding to market pressure.

  • Dow Jones fell 267.50 points (0.54 percent) to close at 49,395.16

  • S&P 500 declined 19.42 points (0.28 percent) to 6,861.89

  • Nasdaq Composite dropped 70.91 points (0.31 percent) to 22,682.73

On Friday morning, US futures were marginally higher.

European market

European markets also closed lower. Airbus slid 7 percent after flagging slightly lower aircraft deliveries in 2026. Renault fell 3 percent after slipping into a net loss despite marginal revenue growth. Nestle declined 3.5 percent as both revenue and profit weakened.

Asian markets

  • Japan’s Nikkei fell 1.30 percent; retail inflation eased to 1.5 percent

  • Core inflation moderated to 2.6 percent from 2.9 percent

  • South Korea’s Kospi rose 1 percent to a record

  • Australia edged lower

  • China remains closed for Lunar New Year holidays until February 23

  • Hong Kong slipped 0.55 percent

Dollar index firms; rupee weak

The dollar index closed at 97.93 on Thursday.

  • Euro fell to $1.1767

  • Pound slipped to $1.3456

  • Yen weakened to 155.05 per dollar

  • Yuan held at 6.91 per dollar

In offshore non-deliverable forward trade, the rupee weakened to 91.04 per dollar, signalling pressure in Friday’s domestic session. RBI intervention is expected if volatility persists.

Crude oil holds firm

Brent crude closed at $72 a barrel on Thursday and hovered near $71.84 on Friday morning. WTI traded at $66.62, while UAE’s Murban crude stood at $72.08.

Natural gas eased to $2.979.

Cryptocurrencies volatile

  • Bitcoin recovered above $67,225 after slipping to $65,600

  • Ether traded near $1,960

  • Solana remained below $83

Market indicators

(February 19, Thursday)

Sensex: 82,498.14 (-1.48%)
Nifty 50: 25,454.35 (-1.41%)
Bank Nifty: 60,739.55 (-1.32%)
Mid cap 100: 59,227.65 (-1.59%)
Small cap 100: 17,020.35 (-1.27%)
Dow Jones: 49,395.16 (-0.54%)
S&P 500: 6,861.89 (-0.28%)
Nasdaq: 22,682.73 (-0.31%)
Dollar: ₹90.67 (+₹0.00)
Gold (ounce): $4,997.20 (+$19.20)
Gold (sovereign): ₹1,15,320 (+₹2,240)
Brent crude: $72.00 (+$1.70)**

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