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Outlook favours bullish trend in the markets today

Momentum indicators continue to reflect a positive trend, with the Nifty trading above both short-term and long-term moving averages.

By Jose Mathew
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Nifty technical outlook (as of market closing on September 19):

In Thursday's trading session, the Nifty closed at 25,415.80, gaining 38.25 points or 0.15%. The bullish trend may persist if the index breaks through the intraday resistance level of 25,480.

The session opened with a positive bias at 25,487.10 and tested a new record high of 25,611.90. However, the index could not maintain momentum, gradually retreating to an intraday low of 25,376.10 before closing at 25,415.80. The FMCG, banking, real estate, and auto sectors led the gains, while media, private banks, metal, and pharma stocks underperformed. The market breadth was negative, with 666 stocks advancing, 1,957 declining, and 93 remaining unchanged.

The top gainers in the Nifty were NTPC, Kotak Bank, Titan, and Nestlé India, while BPCL, Coal India, ONGC, and Adani Ports were the major losers.

From a technical perspective, momentum indicators continue to reflect a positive trend, with the Nifty trading above both short-term and long-term moving averages. However, forming a small black candle on the daily chart suggests potential consolidation. The index closed marginally higher than the previous session, indicating a possible pause in the uptrend.

Key levels to watch

Immediate intraday support is at 25,400, with stronger support at 25,300. Intraday resistance is seen at 25,480. A breakout and sustained trade above this level are required to continue the bullish momentum. If the index remains below 25,480, consolidation may persist for a few more sessions. A move below 25,300 could signal a shift towards a negative bias.

Intraday levels (15-minute charts):

  • Support: 25,400, 25,300, 25,225
  • Resistance: 25,480, 25,550–25,600

Positional trading:

  • Support: 25,350–24,800
  • Resistance: 25,850–26,350

Bank Nifty technical outlook

On Thursday, the Bank Nifty closed at 53,037.60, up by 287.20 points. Technically, momentum indicators signal a positive trend, with the index trading above its short-term and long-term moving averages.

The formation of a white candle on the daily chart, coupled with a close above the prior day's level, suggests that bullish momentum may continue. Bank Nifty shows strong bullish momentum, with the potential to extend gains. However, the index faces resistance at the 53,400 level. A close above this resistance is necessary to sustain the upward trend. If it fails to breach this level, consolidation below 53,400 could continue for a few sessions.

Bank Nifty intraday levels (15-minute charts):

  • Support: 52,900, 52,600, 52,400
  • Resistance: 53,175, 53,400, 53,600

Positional trading:

  • Support: 52,775–51,750
  • Resistance: 53,400–54,500.