Markets rally on crude oil dip; Sensex surges 1,187 points to kick off new financial year

Markets rebound, but caution persists after sharp March fall
Markets rally on crude oil dip; Sensex surges 1,187 points to kick off new financial year
Updated on
3 min read

Indian equities began the new financial year on a strong note, with benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty 50 posting solid gains on April 1, supported by easing crude oil prices and improving global sentiment.

The Sensex ended 1,187 points, or 1.65 percent higher, at 73,132, while the Nifty 50 rose 348 points, or 1.56 percent, to close at 22,679.

Intraday surge

Markets saw strong momentum during the session, with the Sensex rising over 2,000 points at its peak and the Nifty climbing more than 600 points. Broader markets outperformed the benchmarks, with the Nifty Midcap 100 gaining over 2 percent and the Nifty Smallcap 100 advancing more than 3 percent.

Investor wealth surged sharply, with the total market capitalisation of BSE-listed companies increasing by ₹13 lakh-crore to ₹425 lakh-crore.

Crude eases, sentiment improves

A key trigger for the rally was the decline in Brent crude, which briefly fell below $100 per barrel. The drop in oil prices eased concerns over inflation and external balances, boosting risk appetite.

Market sentiment was further supported by expectations that the ongoing conflict in West Asia could de-escalate in the coming weeks. Hopes of reduced geopolitical tensions helped lift global equities and supported emerging markets like India.

Global markets firm up

Global equities moved higher amid optimism over a potential end to the conflict. US markets indicated a positive opening, with futures of major indices pointing to modest gains.

European markets rallied around 2 percent, while Asian equities posted strong gains, with key regional indices rising sharply. Broader emerging market indices also recorded robust advances.

At the same time, the US dollar weakened, and bond prices firmed up, reflecting a shift in investor positioning towards riskier assets.

Volatility persists despite rally

Despite the strong close, crude oil remains volatile due to ongoing tensions in key shipping routes, including the Strait of Hormuz. Continued uncertainty around geopolitical developments could keep markets sensitive in the near term.

Overall, the April 1 rally reflects a sharp rebound in sentiment after recent losses, but sustainability will depend on further easing in crude prices and clarity on global risks.

Worst is not yet over

Despite the sharp upmove, analysts caution against assuming that the worst is over. A key concern remains crude oil, with Brent crude still trading above $100 per barrel, even after a brief decline.

For India, which imports nearly 85–90 percent of its oil requirements, elevated crude prices pose risks to inflation and economic growth. Market participants say a sustained correction in oil prices is essential for the rally to gain durability.

Volatility, though easing slightly, also remains elevated, indicating that investor confidence is yet to fully stabilise.

Strategy: focus on beaten-down sectors

Market experts suggest that long-term investors can use the correction as an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks, particularly in sectors that saw excessive selling in recent weeks.

Financials are emerging as a key recovery play. Leading private sector banks, which faced heavy selling by foreign investors, are now seen as attractive from a valuation perspective and could witness a strong rebound in the medium term.

Infrastructure and metals are also expected to benefit from the government’s continued capital expenditure push, while power and utilities may gain from increased focus on domestic energy security.

Consumption, auto and telecom in focus

Consumption-driven sectors remain structurally strong, supported by steady economic growth and resilient household spending. Retail and mobility segments, in particular, are expected to deliver consistent performance.

Automobile and auto ancillary companies are also seen entering a sustained growth phase, aided by improving demand and export recovery.

In telecom, Bharti Airtel stands out due to its pricing power and improving average revenue per user, which could support earnings growth.

Defence, IT offer tactical opportunities

Defence stocks are likely to stay in focus amid ongoing global conflicts, while IT may offer short-term trading opportunities ahead of quarterly earnings.

Overall, while the April 1 rally signals improving sentiment, analysts advise investors to remain selective and watch key global triggers—especially crude oil—before turning decisively bullish.

(By arrangement with livemint.com)

Related Stories

No stories found.
logo
DhanamOnline English
english.dhanamonline.com